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008 150903s2011 xxu| o |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9781441994165
_99781441994165
024 7 _a10.1007/9781441994165
_2doi
035 _avtls000339311
039 9 _a201509030315
_bVLOAD
_c201404300358
_dVLOAD
_y201402060932
_zstaff
040 _aMX-SnUAN
_bspa
_cMX-SnUAN
_erda
050 4 _aGE300-350
100 1 _aBardi, Ugo.
_eautor
_9316338
245 1 4 _aThe Limits to Growth Revisited /
_cby Ugo Bardi.
264 1 _aNew York, NY :
_bSpringer New York,
_c2011.
300 _axiii, 119 páginas 22 ilustraciones, 6 ilustraciones en color.
_brecurso en línea.
336 _atexto
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputadora
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _arecurso en línea
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _aarchivo de texto
_bPDF
_2rda
490 0 _aSpringerBriefs in Energy,
_x2191-5520
500 _aSpringer eBooks
505 0 _aForeword -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The story of “The Limits to Growth” -- 3. Of models and simulations -- 4. System dynamics modeling -- 5. Modeling the real world: whaling in 19th century -- 6. World modeling by system dynamics -- 7.  Criticism to “The Limits to Growth” -- 8. Mineral Resources as Limits to Growth -- 9. Technological Progress and Limits to Growth -- 10. The Political Debate -- 11. The Return of World Modeling -- 12. Conclusion: the challenges ahead -- 13. About the author -- 14. Acknowledgements.
520 _a“The Limits to Growth” (Meadows, 1972) generated unprecedented controversy with its predictions of the eventual collapse of the world's economies. First hailed as a great advance in science, “The Limits to Growth” was subsequently rejected and demonized. However, with many national economies now at risk and global peak oil apparently a reality, the methods, scenarios, and predictions of “The Limits to Growth” are in great need of reappraisal. In The Limits to Growth Revisited, Ugo Bardi examines both the science and the polemics surrounding this work, and in particular the reactions of economists that marginalized its methods and conclusions for more than 30 years. “The Limits to Growth” was a milestone in attempts to model the future of our society, and it is vital today for both scientists and policy makers to understand its scientific basis, current relevance, and the social and political mechanisms that led to its rejection. Bardi also addresses the all-important question of whether the methods and approaches of “The Limits to Growth” can contribute  to an understanding of what happened to the global economy in the Great Recession and where we are headed from there. Shows how “The Limits to Growth” is a subject more relevant today than when the book was first published Demonstrates how scenario-building using system dynamics models or other methods is an essential tool in understanding possible futures Examines the factors that may lead to the rejection of good science when the conclusions are unpleasant Separates the reality that the future can never be predicted with certainty from the need to prepare for it
590 _aPara consulta fuera de la UANL se requiere clave de acceso remoto.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Servicio en línea)
_9299170
776 0 8 _iEdición impresa:
_z9781441994158
856 4 0 _uhttp://remoto.dgb.uanl.mx/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9416-5
_zConectar a Springer E-Books (Para consulta externa se requiere previa autentificación en Biblioteca Digital UANL)
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999 _c287256
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